Gresham’s Law states
that bad money drives out good. The basic idea is simple. Suppose I have two
gold coins in my pocket, made of the same quality of gold. But one has been
clipped at the edges where someone has taken a little bit of gold off (someone who
has done that to lots of coins and so has accumulated a pile of gold). Which coin
do I spend first? Gresham’s Law says that I will try to pass on the clipped coin
and try to keep hold of the unclipped one for as long as I can. Likewise, if
old silver coins circulate alongside cheap alloy ones, then people will start
saving the silver ones hoping that the silver will soon be worth more than the
face value (it may already be worth more than the face value). Why give away
silver when you could give away alloy?
I thought of Gresham’s Law
thinking about Russia #1. There are people who collect Russia in mint condition
and Russia #1 is a problem. It is rare in mint condition and people used to say
to me that it does not exist mint. So there is demand and no supply. As a
result, for a very long time, people have taken pen-cancelled copies of #1 and
chemically removed the pen cross. They have washed the stamp and, in some
cases, they have gummed it. These stamps are then offered as mint copies, and
still are, and they sell – basically, as “spacefillers” to mint stamp
collectors. In the December David Feldman auctions, you can find two examples:
Lot 41768 described as
(*) … very good margins, very good gum, at
front some surface rubbing at the positions of slight ink traces, a very
presentable example, various sign. incl Th. Lemaire Estimate 3000 euros
Well, that’s more or
less telling you that this was a used copy which has been cleaned and gummed.
Before that alchemy was accomplished, the stamp was probably worth 300 euros,
since it does have nice margins. But it did not have surface rubbing before it
was cleaned. Three thousand euro is a lot to pay for someone’s work cleaning,
rubbing, and gumming this stamp. So why not look for something cheaper, for
example and next up:
Lot
41769 described as (*) … large margins all around, unused no gum, usual
penstroke removing, otherwise excellent fresh example. Estimate 500 euros
The margins aren’t quite
so good on this stamp as on the previous one and the alchemist hasn’t bothered
to add gum and hasn’t been so successful in removing the ink cross. But forced
to choose, someone looking for a space filler might prefer to pay 500 than
3000, the bad stamp trumping the slightly better. Before it was treated, this
stamp was probably worth 200 – 250 euros.
But suppose you want the
real thing? The real gold coin. Well, then you have to go to Lot 70107 which
gets a whole page to itself. There you are offered a stamp which has a * not in
brackets and with exceptionally large and
even margins - and three certificates stating that the gum on the reverse
is original. The estimate is 20 000 – 30 000 euros.
So are you going to buy
the good stamp or the bad stamp - which isn't mint in any sense of the word even though it gets a (*) - to fill that annoying space for Russia #1 mint?
*
On ebay, there are hundreds
of stamp issues where bad stamps have really driven out the good and where
people looking for spacefillers are quite happy to buy the fakes and forgeries on
offer from sellers who seem to make a good living out of it.
I'm not a big fan of "the Free Market explains EVERYTHING" theories, but in this case I think it can work both ways. If the price difference between "good" (say, a modern MNH stamp) and "bad" (the same stamp, but MH) is small, everyone will go for the good stamp: good stamps drive out bad stamps. And in fact, I think that these days you can't give away hinged modern stamps. But for older stamps the price difference becomes substantial and some people will start opting for the "bad" stamps.
ReplyDeleteFor a mint Russia #1 the price difference is astronomical, so there is a substantial market for "bad" stamps.
The forgeries are another matter, I think. There's a lot of sheer ignorance (or optimism) at work there. There have been dozens of Imperial and Soviet "color proofs" offered on eBay during the past two years. All fake, but they look just authentic enough to tempt people to gamble...